Saturday features a main roster of eight MLB games and action on DraftKings begins at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s go position by position and break down everything you will need to know to define your alignments.
Charlie Morton, Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins ($ 8,000) – As of August 1, the Marlins have 81 wRC +, .284 wOBA and .130 ISO against right handed pitching. Charlie Morton has a K rate of 29% and a ground bullet rate of 49%. These two tools make him a particularly effective pitcher in an Atlanta park that allows for small play in the summer. Morton still has home circuit issues and the Marlins have more horsepower on the road, but that horsepower is negligible – an ISO increase from 0.128 to 0.146. Morton and the Braves are big favorites on Saturday night, so Morton should have no problem pulling the Marlins out.
Other option: Luis Castillo ($ 9,000)
Michael Pineda, Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals ($ 5,400) – In his last outing – a long relief appearance – Pineda pitched three scoreless innings allowing two hits while striking out three batters and claimed the victory over the Indians. He’s far from fixed, but he will shoot a favorable game against the Royals – 84 wRC +, .295 wOBA and an ISO of .143 against the right-handed pitcher. Pineda’s biggest problem is the long ball, but only two Kansas City hitters have an above-average ISO against right-handed pitchers since Aug. 1 – Salvador Pérez ($ 5,500) and Andrew Benintendi ($ 2,900).
Other option: Connor Saebold ($ 4000)
Salvador Perez, Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins ($ 5,500) – There is a reason why Michael Pineda ($ 5,400) is a pitcher of value. Besides the 2020 anomaly, Pineda’s career has been tarnished by his propensity to allow circuits. His 1.3 HR / 9, 36% fly ball and 36% hard contact rate with right-handed hitters isn’t that great, but it’s not good. Salvador Perez doesn’t need any help (42 home runs), but he’ll take it by chasing the one-season home run record for a receiver set by Johnny Bench 51 years ago.
Other option: Yasmani Grandal ($ 5,200)
Tucker Barnhart, Cincinnati Reds To Cardinals of Saint-Louis ($ 2,600) – The plus / minus for each game on Saturday is 8 or 9 points. It’s almost like punters are calling it today and focusing on college football and the NFL. The Reds are expected to score more than four points against Miles Mikolas ($ 6,900) and the second worst box for baseball relievers (4.72 xFIP).
Other option: Tom Murphy ($ 3,100)
Freddie Freeman, Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins ($ 5,400) – Against right-handed pitch, Freeman has a wOBA of .393, an ISO of .225, and a 145 wRC +. Elieser Hernandez ($ 7,000) battled left-handed hitters over 17 innings – .361 wOBA, .367 ISO and 3.6 HR / 9 – and Freddie Freeman isn’t just another southpaw.
Other option: José Abreu ($ 4,500)
Joey Votto, Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals ($ 4,200) – DraftKings is unfamiliar with the meme: Votto Still Bangs. If they were, it wouldn’t be that cheap. It also shouldn’t be this cheap based on its divisions – .425 wOBA, .343 ISO and a 165 wRC + vs. RHP – or its current form – home runs in its last two games.
Other option: Bobby Dalbec ($ 3,400)
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Jorge Polanco, Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals ($ 5,700) – DraftKings neglected Polanco for months, but eventually he was discovered and his price rightly skyrocketed. Against right handed pitch, Polanco has a .361 wOBA, .230 ISO and 130 wRC +. Brady Singer ($ 6,000) was below average against left-handed hitters (0.334 wOBA).
Other option: José Altuve ($ 5,400)
Max Schrock, Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals ($ 2,000) – Kyle Farmer is on the fatherhood list, but it’s unclear whether Max Schrock is in the starting XI. For the latest news, analysis and programming, download the DK Live app. You can also follow DK Live on Twitter @dklive. If Schrock is playing, he has a wOBA of 0.392, an ISO of 0.200, and a wRC + of 143 against the right-handed pitcher.
Other option: Jonathan India ($ 3,900)
Kyle Seager, Seattle sailors vs. Arizona Diamondbacks ($ 5,200) – Arizona has the worst bullpen in baseball (4.95 xFIP) and Humberto Castellanos ($ 5,500) wrestled in 13 innings against left-handed hitters – .354 wOBA, .239 ISO, 40% hard contact rate, 46% fly ball rate and 1.4 HR / 9. Seager has an ISO .244 and a 41% hard contact rate against right-handed pitch.
Other option: Austin Riley ($ 5,800)
Luis Arraez, Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals ($ 4,200) – Brady Singer has been a good pitcher against lefties, but his 4.48 xFIP is weak and his 54% strand rate is terrible. For some reason, Singer struggles with lefties with base runners. A mini stack with Arraez and Polanco at the top of the Twins’ lineup could be devious on Saturday night. Arraez has a wOBA rate of .344, 118 wRC + and 8% K against right handed pitch.
Other option: Jonathan Villar ($ 4,400)
Alex Bogaerts, Boston Red Sox To Chicago White Sox ($ 5,100) – LAZER Bogaerts hits too many line readers. Baseball managers love it, but DFS players aren’t impressed – they need home runs. Dylan quits ($ 9,600) allows a 47% volley ball rate to right-handed hitters and Statcast ranks Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago as the third best park for home runs.
Other option: Carlos Correa ($ 5,200)
Jose Barrero, Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals ($ 2,000) – If southpaw Schrock isn’t playing, then Barrero will likely start. On Friday Barreo started and went 2 for 4 with one run scored and one run batted in. Jose Barrero isn’t just another September summons. He’s a top prospect – the organization’s No.5 – who was awarded a $ 5 million contract from Cuba. It had a .419, .288 ISO wOBA and 158 wRC + in Triple-A. It should be the most popular game on the slate.
Other option: Nicky Lopez ($ 3,100)
Fernando Tatis Jr., San Diego Padres To Los Angeles Dodgers ($ 6,000) – Did you know Dodger Stadium is the second best home run park this season? Did you know Walker Buehler ($ 9,400) allows a 41% fly rate and 35% hard contact rate to right-handed hitters? Seems like a good place to play Tatis with his ISO of .360 and 50% hard contact rate against right handed pitch.
Other option: Byron Buxton ($ 5,700)
Tyler Naquin, Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals ($ 2,800) – Against right-handed pitch, Naquin has a wOBA of .362, .233 ISO, 124 wRC + and a hard contact rate of 40%. Miles Mikolas allows a wOBA of 0.371, a hard contact rate of 37%, a fly ball rate of 40%, and a K rate of 16% to left-handed hitters.
Other option: Andrew Benintendi ($ 2,900), Jake Meyers ($ 3,100)
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